THINKING about UNCERTAINTY and IMPLEMENTATION
Read Chapter 6 in The Three Secrets.
| Identify important ranges of uncertainty, and perform sensitivity analyses on them. | Perform at least one sensitivity analysis, by changing a cell color or an importance ranking and clicking on Recalculate and Re-Color to see whether it changes the alternative that is in first place. Indicate your reasons for choosing the particular uncertainty or uncertainties you chose to test.. Indicate the conclusions you draw from your sensitivity analysis. |
| Try to create an "uncertainty proof" alternative. | Consider ways in which you could uncertainty proof against your most important uncertainty. |
| Common sense test. | Does this decision make sense? Does it feel right? What conclusions do you draw? |
| Commitment | Summarize in a single sentence your reasons for choosing the alternative you've decided on, so your choice will be easy to defend to yourself and others. |
| Openness to re-evaluation | Consider future conditions that might lead you to reconsider your choice. |